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From Green to Blue: Four Stocks Fall from Favor

This Site:en.yinlu.net Source:en.yinlu.net Writer: Time:2007-11-22
There are downgrades and then there are downgrades. Each of the four stocks in today's PowerRatings (for Investors) conversation has fallen from an "in the green" PowerRating of 8 to a less-than-stellar "in the blue" PowerRating of 7. While this in and of itself does not mean investors should trample each other trying to get rid of these names, the fact that they are no longer "in the green" does mean that there are likely better options for investors to consider switching into at this point.

The stocks are Fairfax Financial Holdings (NYSE: - ),Molina Healthcare (NYSE: - ), Northeast Utilities (NYSE: - ) and Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE: - ).

The difference between a PowerRatings (for Investors) rating of 8 and a rating of 7 is not colossal. Our research, going back to 1995, suggests that there is about a 1% difference between the average returns of 7 and 8 rated stocks one year later (17.13% for the 8's versus 16.16% for the 7's). And 8-rated stocks have historically been higher one year later more than 74% of the time -- compared to just under 68% of the time for 7-rated stocks.

But what investors need to be wary of is the possibility that stocks that fall from a PowerRatings (for Investors) rating of 8 to a PowerRatings (for Investors) rating of 7 might soon fall to a rating of 6, or 5 or even lower. A downgrade from one rating to the next lower rating does not create a trend. But investors -- particularly those who decide to stick with downgraded stocks -- should be alert to the possibility of the initial downgrade becoming a sign of more worrisome things to come.

Let's take a quick, closer look at the four stocks that have fallen from green to blue as of this morning:

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) is a Canadian financial services holding company. Fairfax Financial specializes in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, as well as investment management and insurance claims management.

The company is a member of the high PowerRatings (for Industries) rated Property and Casualty Insurance industry. Some of the more attractive stocks in this group -- in PowerRatings (for Investors) terms -- include Berkshire Hathaway, with a PowerRatings (for Investors) rating of 10, and Partnerre Limited, with a PowerRatings (for Investors) rating of 9.

Molina Healthcare (MOH) is another one of our 8's that fell to a 7 as of this morning. Molina Healthcare is a multi-state managed care company that coordinates the delivery of health care services to patients who receive their benefits by way of government sponsored programs for low-income families and individuals.

Molina belongs to the Health Care Plans industry, which is an industry with a PowerRating of 8. A number of stocks in this industry -- from Aetna (NYSE: - ) to United Health Group (NYSE: - ) also feature 8 PowerRatings, and may represent better choices for investors looking to possibly replace Molina Healthcare in their investment portfolios.

Northeast Utilities (NU) provides franchised retail electric services through its three subsidiaries: The Connecticut Light & Power Company, Public Service Company of New Hampshire and Western Massachusetts Electric Company.

The Diversified Utilities industry is only an average ranked industry -- PowerRatings (for Industry) rating of 6. But there are likely better utilities options for investors than Northeast Utilities. Three such options are Energy East Corp (NYSE: - ), Consolidated Edison (NYSE: - ) and Northwestern Corp (NasdaqGS: - ). All three of these utilities stocks has PowerRatings (for Investors) ratings of 9.

The last stock I want to highlight here is Packaging Corporation of America (PKG). This company produces containerboard and corrugated products including conventional shipping containers. Packaging Corporation of America is actually in a very strong industry -- Packaging and Containers -- with a PowerRatings (for Industries) rating of 9. But with its PowerRatings (for Investors) rating of 7, Packing Corporation joins Ball Corporation (NYSE: - ) and Sealed Air Corporation (NYSE: - ) -- both also 7-rated stocks -- as an average "house" in what is still a pretty decent stock "neighborhood."

From Green to Blue: Four Stocks Fall from Favor Recap:

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH). PowerRatings (for Investors) rating: 7

Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH). PowerRatings (for Investors) rating: 7

Northeast Utilities (NU). PowerRatings (for Investors) rating: 7

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG). PowerRatings (for Investors) rating: 7.

For Today's Top Rated Stocks go to .

David Penn is Senior Editor at PowerRatings.net

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